Guest “truth is stranger than friction” by David Middleton Alternate Title: The Cretaceous Sea Level Paradox Oceans are at their deepest in 250 million yearsAnd they have hardly been deeper in the last 400 million years than now. Lasse BiørnstadJOURNALISTPUBLISHED Monday 08. june 2020 – 12:24“It moves absurdly slowly,” says Krister Karlsen. He is a…
Study found evidence for a period of enhanced pre-industrial sea-level rise of about 2-3 millimeters per year University of York The study, led by the University of York, found evidence for a period of enhanced pre-industrial sea-level rise of about two to three millimetres per year in three locations: Nova Scotia, Maine and Connecticut. The…
Guest essay by Larry Hamlin The Los Angeles Times ran yet another scientifically unsupported climate alarmist sea level rise propaganda article supporting the position that government entities in the state need to mandate relocation of coastal properties away from the coast based upon speculation and conjecture derived from unvalidated and failed computer model outcomes of…
Guest geology by David Middleton Ghost Forests Are Visceral Examples of the Advance of Climate Change BY TIK ROOT OCTOBER 7, 2019 As Matt Kirwan walks through Maryland’s Blackwater National Refuge, his rubber boots begin to squish. With each step the land beneath him turns from dry ground to increasingly soggy mud. The trees around…
From the Cornwall Alliance Gregory J. Rummo On February 2, 1978—41 years ago!—The Wall Street Journal warned in a headline that “Low-Lying Lands Could Be Submerged by Climatic Disaster.” Fears of apocalyptic sea-level rise are nothing new despite the fact that they seem to have recently taken on a new life of their own, especially…
Patches of snow and bare ice near the edge of the snowline provide an illustration of the difference in reflectivity between the two surfaces. Credit Clément Miège PROVIDENCE, R.I. [Brown University] — In a finding that may help scientists better predict sea-level rise in a warming world, Brown University researchers have found an underappreciated factor…
By Rud Istvan, WUWT reader KS of North Dakota emailed a request to ctm based on reading ‘alarming’ Wired journalism concerning $50 million being spent to further study the ‘dangerous’ Thwaites glacier in Antarctica. KS asked if WUWT could perhaps produce a factual overview. ctm asked me to provide it, since I had written an…
From Eurekalert Public Release: 3-Dec-2018 Several studies utilize risk assessment and risk mitigation practices to prepare for future severe weather events. Past practices are no longer adequate. Society for Risk Analysis As sea levels continue to rise and more severe storms, like Hurricanes Maria and Michael, threaten coastline communities, local leaders need to assess the…
Guest sciencey schist by David Middleton Yes… I know it’s Pisa, not Pizza… But I’m trying a low-carb diet and I really miss pizza, Among the 1,000+ UNESCO World Heritage sites that are about to be eroded away by a RCP8.5-fabricated Noachian Anthropocene* Deluge is the Piazza del Duomo of Pisa, Italy. This is the site of…
Reposted from Roy Spencer’s Blog July 21st, 2017 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. If I had not looked past the headline of the press report on a new study, I would have just filed it under “It’s worse than we thought”. A new study in Nature reported on July 17 carried the following headlines:…
The Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level (PSMSL) is perhaps the best source for sea level data. Established in 1933, the Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level (PSMSL) has been responsible for the collection, publication, analysis and interpretation of sea level data from the global network of tide gauges. It is based in Liverpool at…
Public Release: 13-Jul-2017 Projections of future beach loss in Japan due to sea-level rise and uncertainties in projected beach loss World Scientific As G20 Summit 2017 drew to a close, the issue of climate change divided the world. As it happened, 19 of the 20 leaders were able to agree on all points made in…
By Rud Istvan A sound bite summary* The climate consensus now has two derogation levels for those who disagree. Climate ‘contrarians’ like Bjørn Lomborg disagree about mitigation policies. Climate ‘deniers’ like Judith Curry disagree about the underlying climatology. The consensus does not any want any disagreement, since their science is ‘settled’ and solutions ‘clear’. They…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [see update] Well, the claims of the “first climate refugees” are coming up again. I think we’re up to the ninth first climate refugees, it’s hard to keep track. In any case, I came across this: International leaders gathering in Paris to address global warming face increasing pressure to tackle…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [UPDATE] In the comments, Nick Stokes pointed out that although I thought that Dr. Shaviv’s harmonic solar component was a 12.6 year sine wave with a standard deviation of 1.7 centimetres, it is actually a 12.6 year sine wave with a standard deviation of 1.7 millimetres (5 mm peak to…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Dr. Nir Shaviv and others strongly believe that there is an ~ 11-year solar signal visible in the sea level height data. I don’t think such a signal is visible. So I decided to look for it another way, one I’d not seen used before. One of the more sensitive…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Dr. Nir Shaviv has kindly replied in the comments to my previous post. There, he says: Nir Shaviv August 15, 2015 at 2:51 pm There is very little truth about any of the points raised by Eschenbach in this article. In particular, his analysis excludes the fact that the ocean…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [UPDATE: Upon reading Dr. Shaviv’s reply to this post, I have withdrawn any mention of “deceptive” from this post. This term was over the top, as it ascribed motive to the authors. I have replaced the term with “misleading”. This is more accurate since it describes the effect of the analysis…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach A couple days ago, I was given a copy of a most interesting interchange from 2011 between Dr. Kevin Trenberth and a layman asking him a question. The sender of the question recently passed it on to me. I’ve redacted the email addresses and the name of the person asking the question,…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In my last post on the purported existence of the elusive ~60-year cycle in sea levels as claimed in the recent paper “Is there a 60-year oscillation in global mean sea level?”, I used a tool called “periodicity analysis” (discussed here) to investigate cycles in the sea level. However, some people…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I was referred to a paywalled paper called “Is there a 60-year oscillation in global mean sea level?” The authors’ answer to the eponymous question is “yes”, in fact, their answer boils down to “dangbetcha fer sure yes there is a 60-year oscillation”, viz: We examine long tide gauge records…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Among the recent efforts to explain away the effects of the ongoing “pause” in temperature rise, there’s an interesting paper by Dr. Anny Cazenave et al entitled “The Rate of Sea Level Rise”, hereinafter Cazenave14. Unfortunately it is paywalled, but the Supplementary Information is quite complete and is available here.…
Guest Post by Kip Hansen Corrigendum: Due to the simple mis-reading of a multi-column spreadsheet from this paper, the magnitude of the AIG Subsidence for The Battery was misstated as “-2.3mm/yr”. The number given is for Sandy Hook, NJ. The correct figure for The Battery, NY is -1.35mm/yr. This changes the details of the…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In a comment on a recent post, I was pointed to a study making the following surprising claim: Here, we analyze the stream flow of one of the largest rivers in the world, the Parana ́ in southeastern South America. For the last century, we find a strong correlation with…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I came across a curious graph and claim today in a peer-reviewed scientific paper. Here’s the graph relating sunspots and the change in sea level: And here is the claim about the graph: Sea level change and solar activity A stronger effect related to solar cycles is seen in Fig.…
Guest post by David Middleton Experts say the IPCC underestimated future sea level rise A new study surveys 90 sea level rise experts, who say sea level rise this century will exceed IPCC projections Wednesday 4 December 2013 John Abraham It looks like past IPCC predictions of sea level rise were too conservative; things are…
A short comment by Nils-Axel Mörner UPDATE: See the follow up post here: The Most Important Sea Level Graph This is the sea level graph (from Kwajalein) recently being circulated and claimed to show an alarming acceleration of a proposed general sea level rise. Yes, this curve rises fairly rapidly from 1990 to 2012. But for…
Once again, it looks like claims of ‘consensus’ are overblown. In our previous news item we have this: …ice sheets are the largest potential source of future sea level rise – and they also possess the largest uncertainty over their future behaviour. and Yet, there is no consensus among scientists about the cause of this…
Ice sheets are the largest potential source of future sea level rise – and they also possess the largest uncertainty over their future behaviour From the University of Bristol Continuous satellite monitoring of ice sheets needed to better predict sea-level rise The findings, published in Nature Geoscience, underscore the need for continuous satellite monitoring of…
Finds sea levels have risen over the past 9 years [2002-2011] at a rate of only 1.7 mm/yr, equivalent to 6.7 inches per century, matching tide gauge data rates. The paper corroborates the NOAA 2012 Sea Level Budget which finds sea levels have risen at only 1.1-1.3 mm/yr over the past 7 years from 2005-2012…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach For years now, folks have searched desperately for the “fingerprints” of human climate change. These are things that are supposed to reveal how and where humans are affecting the climate. One of these fingerprints, which is alleged to be a sure and certain harbinger of the thermal end times, is…
[UPDATE: Several commenters, including myself, have remarked on a mathematical error in the author’s work. I note this here in the expectation that the author will return to clarify and perhaps amend his claims. Having made such public mistakes myself, it’s embarrassing if true, but that’s the function of public peer review as practiced on…
From the New York Daily News: The data doesn’t support him. The temperature rise seems to have slowed in the past few years, here is NYC’s Central Park data:
The Week That Was: 2013-06-08 (June 8, 2013) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project ################################################### Quote of the Week: There is no harm in doubt and skepticism, for it is through these that new discoveries are made. Richard Feynman ################################################### Number of the Week: 73 ################################################### THIS WEEK: By…
From his June 4, 2008 speech on winning the Democratic primaries: “This was the moment when the rise of the oceans began to slow, and our planet began to heal.” Here’s the proof: Ten year running mean sea level rise from satellite altimetry.
In a new analysis published in Volume 8 Issue 2 of Environmental Science Dr. Nils-Axel Morner suggests global sea levels will rise only about 5 inches by the year 2100. Axel Morner concludes that Australian government claims of a 1 meter sea level rise by 2100 are greatly exaggerated, finding instead that sea levels are…
People send me stuff. Here we have another case of value added adjustments that increase the slope, much like temperature. This email forwarded from Steve Case reads as follows: The University of Colorado’s Sea Level Research Group just published the 2013 Release #1 of their Global Mean Sea Level Time Series. I discovered that these…
Results suggest that global mean sea level may also be affected, though not yet fully confirmed. Hot off the heels of an admission by NASA JPL that the satellite derived sea level data is “spurious” due to a lack of a stable reference frame and needs fixing, comes this new paper that suggests we may…
A climate science bombshell: New proposal from NASA JPL admits to “spurious” errors in current satellite based sea level and ice altimetry, calls for new space platform to fix the problem. People send me stuff. Today it is a PowerPoint presentation from NASA JPL that touts the new GRASP (Geodetic Reference Antenna in Space) satellite…
Guest post by David Archibald George Orwell said,” He who controls the present, controls the past. He who controls the past, controls the future.” Some amongst us have used that as an instruction manual and have attempted to create confusion about the sunspot number record. We can sidestep all that by using the F10.7 flux…
By Dr. Patrick Michaels from World Climate Report Sea level rise is a topic that we frequently focus on because of all the gross environmental alterations which may result from anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, it is perhaps the only one which could lead to conditions unexperienced by modern societies. A swift (or accelerating) sea level…
Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is a follow-up to my recent post On Sallenger et al (2012) – Hotspot of Accelerated Sea Level Rise on the Atlantic Coast of North America. It confirms a comment I made there and also takes a quick look at the satellite-based sea level trend maps. Sallenger et al…
An update to what we reported here yesterday – Science vs AGW Advocacy in North Carolina, from HamptonRoads.com: N.C. Senate approves sea level calculation bill The North Carolina Senate has approved a bill that ignores scientists’ warnings of rising sea levels.
By Pat Michaels via World Climate Report A new study using historical images of glaciers in southeast Greenland to investigate glacier response to climate changes suggests that the recently observed acceleration of ice loss from Greenland may not be a long-term phenomenon. Instead, as marine terminating glaciers reach their grounding line and as the termini…
Guest post by Paul Homewood It is generally accepted that sea levels increased during the 20thC at a rate of about 185mm or about 7”. Furthermore studies suggest that there was no acceleration in this rate during that time. One of the best known studies was by Bruce Douglas, who produced the above…
Guest post by David Archibald This is a little bit amusing. In February, I had a post on the solar – sea level relationship which quantified the sea level fall to come to the end of Solar Cycle 25: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/02/03/quantifying-sea-level-fall/ The site “Skeptical Science” has to date carried two pieces in response to that February…
I wonder if Rajenda Pachauri will call this “voodoo science“? A previous study by the UC Santa Barbara found that the Karakoram glaciers are mostly stagnating, possibly due to debris, the author said then that: “There is no ‘stereotypical’ Himalayan glacier,” said Bookhagen. “This is in clear contrast to the IPCC reports that lumps all Himalayan…
I’ve been watching with interest and concern some of Steve Goddard’s postings on Envisat on the abrupt changes in their recent sea level data. To me, something didn’t seem quite right, and I expressed concerns privately along those lines that I didn’t know the causes of what appear to be recent unexplained “adjustments” in the…
Guest post by Andi Cockroft Firstly, let me declare that I am not a current student of Geology or Geophysics. I studied Mathematics, Computer Science and Geology at University way back in the 60’s and I have focused my entire working life in IT. To this day, I still run a small IT company in…
From the University of British Columbia, David Flanders is trying to scare Canadians over sea level rise. Only one problem, the math doesn’t work. Preparing for the flood: Visualizations help communities plan for sea-level rise Researchers at the University of British Columbia have produced computer visualizations of rising sea levels in a low-lying coastal municipality,…