By Don J. Easterbrook, PhD. In a paper “Global warming preceded by increasing carbon dioxide concentrations during the last deglaciation”, Shakun et al.(Nature 2012) contend that rising temperature at the end of the last Pleistocene glaciation were preceded by increasing atmospheric CO2. In his usual masterful fashion, Willis Eschenbach has dug deeply into the data…
Global Temperature Report: March 2012 U.S. hits record highs in March, Iowa is ‘warmest’ place on Earth Global climate trend since Nov. 16, 1978: +0.13 C per decade March temperatures (preliminary) Global composite temp.: +0.11 C (about 0.20 degrees Fahrenheit) above 30-year average for March.
How Green Gullibility, Hyperpartisanship Are Wrecking The Climate Movement by Walter Russell Mead The American Interest (excerpted) One of the biggest intellectual failures of the global green movement against climate change is the persistent failure of its leaders and spokespeople to grasp the way their own advocacy fatally undermines their credibility. They blame cunning, unscrupulous…
(Note: I can back Mike up on this, I’ve been getting several letters like this from my TV Meteorologist friends from around the country, all nearly identically worded. – Anthony) Guest post by Mike Alger If you thought the dishonest tactics taken by Gleick et al were somewhat under the tableau of honesty, I am…
Bizarre stuff from The Atlantic, though it seems even Bill McKibben is panning him and when you can’t sell Bill McKibben on crazy, well, you’ve entered a whole new plane of crazy. Me? I welcome our new smaller climate optmized green cat-like overlords. – Anthony How Engineering the Human Body Could Combat Climate Change By…
On Saturday I posted about this study from Pierre Gosselin at No Tricks Zone: New Study Shows A Clear Millennial Solar Impact Throughout Holocene Now we have another that suggests little effect. and shows a business as usual projected warming trend. From the: JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 117, D05103, 13 PP., 2012 doi:10.1029/2011JD017013 What…
Guest Post by Dr. Robert Brown, Physics Dept. Duke University [elevated from comments] Dr. Brown mentions “global temperature” several times. I’d like to know what he thinks of this. Dr. Brown thinks that this is a very nice piece of work, and is precisely the reason that he said that anybody who claims to know…
UAH Global Temperature Update for February 2012: -0.12 deg. C By Dr. Roy Spencer The global average lower tropospheric temperature anomaly cooled a little more in February, 2012, again not unexpected for the current La Nina conditions in the tropical Pacific Ocean (click on the image for the full-size version): The 3rd order polynomial fit…
UPDATE: 9:50AM 2/28 Professor Kelly responds in comments. It seems the Times saw fit to remove an important portion of his first paragraph. I’ve highlighted the missing text in red. Gobsmacking that they couldn’t handle this one sentence but left the rest untouched – Anthony M J Kelly Submitted on 2012/02/28 at 9:13 am If…
This press release, initially published here, is reproduced in full below. FEBRUARY 27, 2012 – The Heartland Institute today released an analysis of the fake “climate strategy” memo circulated by Pacific Institute President Peter Gleick to fellow environmental activists and journalists on February 14, 2012. The analysis, written by Heartland President Joseph Bast, refutes the…
From Amazon’s list of Gleick book reviews here Must read — for the real history of the climate debate and the war by deniers, February 8, 2012 This review is from: The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines (Hardcover) Michael Mann — a world class scientist and communicator about the…
Guest post by Alec Rawls “Expert review” of the First Order Draft of AR5 closed on the 10th. Here is the first paragraph of my submitted critique: My training is in economics where we are very familiar with what statisticians call “the omitted variable problem” (or when it is intentional, “omitted variable fraud”). Whenever an…
WUWT readers may recall our guest post from Russ Steele in 2009: CA Academy of Science AGW display apparently not very popular Here are a couple of photos from his visit then: That’s one big hockey stick they got there – click to enlarge He wrote then: For the most part these displays were ignored, except…
By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” With the help of an array of WUWT reader comments, which began on this thread on January, 15th 2011, and grew on January 22nd, 2011, February 10th, 2011, February 28th, 2011, June 30th, 2011 and January 21st, 2012, I have been compiling a summary of all potential climatic variables…
Foreword: Dr Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt, authors of a new controversial skeptic book now hitting German bookstores, have asked me to post their response to comments made by climate scientist Georg Feulner of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in an interview by NTV television. Feulner insists that CO2 plays the major…
I have a new feature page on WUWT that highlights the work of Nicola Scafetta and his solar-lunar cycle forecast model as it compares to the IPCC forecasts and global temperature reality using HadCRUT surface temperature data. Working with Dr. Scafetta, we’ve created not only a dedicated reference page which will be updated monthly as…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Following on my previous post, “Jason and the Argo Notes”, just a couple of graphs in passing: Figure 1. Argo surface temperatures, northern hemisphere. Colors show the latitude of the floats, from red at the Equator to blue in the north. Click on image for full size version. UPDATE: several…
Guest post by Warren Meyer Likely you have heard the sound bite that “97% of climate scientists” accept the global warming “consensus”. Which is what gives global warming advocates the confidence to call climate skeptics “deniers,” hoping to evoke a parallel with “Holocaust Deniers,” a case where most of us would agree that a small…
From the video description: AtmosNews takes a lighthearted look at an unexpected analogy, explaining why some people call carbon dioxide (and the other greenhouse gases) the steroids of the climate system. Statistics and extreme behavior are involved, whether we’re talking about baseball or Earth’s atmosphere. NCAR scientist Gerald “Jerry” Meehl explains why.
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I got to thinking about “triangular fuzzy numbers” regarding the IPCC and their claims about how the climate system works. The IPCC, along with the climate establishment in general, make what to me is a ridiculous claim. This is the idea that in a hugely complex system like the Earth’s…
UAH Global Temperature Update for January 2012: -0.09 deg. C By Dr. Roy Spencer PERSONAL NOTE: I’ve been unavailable for a while…my oldest daughter was in a bad car accident, will be OK eventually, but won’t walk for about 3 months. So, I might not be answering queries. The global average lower tropospheric temperature anomaly…
There’s a story about solar cycle 25, and a potential “mini ice age” in the UK Daily Mail by David Rose that is making headlines today, even hitting the Drudge Report. The headline is: Forget global warming – it’s Cycle 25 we need to worry about (and if NASA scientists are right the Thames will…
More proof of global warming climate change global climate disruption has been seen with this latest snowstorm in Seattle. Readers may recall this story from 2008 from where the mayor even refused to bring out salting/snowplowing for fear of environmental damage to Puget Sound. Two feet of snow has never before been seen in Seattle,…
By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” With the help of an array of WUWT reader comments on this thread and several others documented within, I’ve been compiling a summary of all potential climatic variables in order to build a conceptual map of Earth’s climate system. The goals of this exercise include; To gain a bigger…
By Joe Bastardi, Weatherbell Analytics When the PDO turned cold, most of the meteorological and climate community understood that the pattern was turning very similar the last time of the PDO reversal, the 1950s, and it was a matter of time before the global temperatures, which have leveled off, would start falling in the same…
Guest post by Patrick Michaels When the battle is being lost, there is a tendency to try to raise a level of distraction to shift the attention away from the desperate situation at hand. Such is the noise being raised concerning my presentation of the results from a recent series of scientific findings and observations—that…
Bob has asked me to carry this post, and I’m happy to do so. For those who want to criticize without contributing anything but criticism, I offer this insight: The only real mistake is the one from which we learn nothing. ~John Powell -Anthony Revised Post – On Foster and Rahmstorf (2011) Guest post by Bob…
Press release London, 13 January: A climate bet proposed by the BBC’s radio programme “More or Less” four years ago has been won by Dr David Whitehouse, a former BBC Science Editor and a scientific adviser to the Global Warming Policy Foundation. In 2008, the BBC programme-makers came up with the idea of a bet. It was for…
After Gore’s 24 hours of climate reality back in September, I thought that he’d pretty much hit rock bottom with faking the science in it. Even Nature thought it was dumb. I thought we couldn’t possibly see anything stupider than that. I was wrong. Al Gore has announced a partnership with PSFK to make a…
Sir Fred Hoyle Vindicated (Via Dr. Benny Peiser of the GWPF) According to new research to be published in Nature Geoscience (embargoed until 1800 GMT/10AM PST, Sunday 8 January 2012), the next ice age could set in any time this millennium where it not for increases in anthropogenic CO2 emissions that are preventing such a…
UAH Global Temperature Update for Dec. 2011: +0.13 deg. C By Dr. Roy Spencer The global average lower tropospheric temperature anomaly for December, 2011 remained about the same November, +0.13 deg. C (click on the image for the full-size version): The 3rd order polynomial fit to the data (courtesy of Excel) is for entertainment purposes…
This is a repost from Lansner’s website, since Tamino aka Grant Foster won’t allow it to be discussed on his own website, I thought I’d give a forum for discussion here. – Anthony The real temperature trend given by Foster and Rahmstorf 2011? Posted by Frank Lansner (frank) on 17th December, 2011 (whoops, I’m not…
Guest post by Indur M. Goklany Damian Carrington’s Environment Blog at the Guardian proclaims: Climate deal: A guarantee our children will be worse off than us. This myth —perhaps myth-take would be a better word—has been addressed previously at WUWT. In the post—Are today’s poorer generations morally obliged to solve problems that may or may…
UAH Global Temperature Update for Nov. 2011: +0.12 deg. C By Dr. Roy Spencer The global average lower tropospheric temperature anomaly for November, 2011 remained about the same as last month, at +0.12 deg. C (click on the image for the full-size version): The 3rd order polynomial fit to the data (courtesy of Excel) is…
This might be a bit overzealous per Morano’s unique writing style, but compared to some of the stuff we’ve seen from warmists, pretty mild. Lots of useful links and notes – Anthony By Marc Morano – Climate Depot Below is the Introduction to the report. Full report is available here. (PDF) INTRODUCTION: Many of the proponents of man-made…
With apologies to The Treasure of the Sierra Madre, here’s a a comment worth repeating from the Hit and Misses thread. Dennis Ray Wingo says: November 26, 2011 at 10:44 am What I find interesting about the entire email corpus is the focus on the minutia of the statistics and the different proxies. In none…
Jo Nova writes (and I’m repeating here to get he word out) Behind the scenes, I’ve been playing with a new neat tool for hunting hypocrisy, corruption, bias and unprofessional behaviour and I’m pleased to announce its ready to share with the world. The kudos for this all belongs to, as usual, a skilled volunteer. Thanks…
Thanks perhaps in part to Climategate 2, it is looking less like success and more like FAIL at Durban. The US has backed off and now refuses to agree to structure and funding of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) “Green Climate Fund”. Just the name alone juxtaposed with the UN makes…
Joe Romm would call this a “head exploding moment“. If this were a skeptic, Tamino aka Grant Foster, would sharpen his invective ginsu knives and launch a fusillade of cutlery in a blog post claiming how stupid and inept skeptics are for not being able to work a simple program like Excel. But this is…
The website Gore Lied wrote: …he also actually pondered, “how do we avoid sounding religious or arrogant?”, but I’m getting ahead of myself.
I’ve previously highlighted the accordion talents of RealClimate co-founder Dr. Ray Pierrehumbert. Now he’s formed a band with two guys named Abbot and Archer, singing the CO2 blues in a music video. How appropriate though, given the politics employed by Ray and The Team, that they say “We are climate scientists, Chicago style”. Mike Mann…
New paper by Love et al suggests no prominent role for solar‐terrestrial interaction in global climate change. I’m providing it here for discussion. We are not convinced that the combination of sunspot‐number, geomagnetic‐activity, and global‐temperature data can, with a purely phenomenological correlational analysis, be used to identify an anthropogenic affect on climate. Abstract Recent studies…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach As reported in the Guardian (so it must be true), we are treated to some great news: World headed for irreversible climate change in five years, IEA warns If fossil fuel infrastructure is not rapidly changed, the world will ‘lose for ever’ the chance to avoid dangerous climate change …
Guest post by Bob Tisdale OVERVIEW This post compares the instrument observations of three global temperature anomaly datasets (NINO3, Global, and North Atlantic “Plus”) to the hindcasts of the NCAR couple climate model CCSM4, which was used in a couple of recent peer-reviewed climate studies. Those studies relied solely on the models and do not…
By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” Correction: This video appears to be associated with the William J Clinton Foundation versus the World Wildlife Fund (WWF) as was previously stated. Updated Below – New “The Air-Conditioned Suit” video surfaces “‘Combustible’ is a web video, created as part of a campaign, for the Global Climate Initiative, an…
Guest post by William McClenney This piece is advisory in nature to the many state Attorneys General, Eric Holder and any attorneys that may be involved in joining any of the many suits brought under the Public Trust doctrine beginning in May 2011 through the filings engendered by way of “Our Children’s Trust” (http://www.ourchildrenstrust.org/legal-action/lawsuits).…
New Paper “Climatic Trends In Major U.S. Urban Areas, 1950–2009″ By Mishra and Lettenmaier By Dr. Roger Pielke Senior There is a new paper Mishra, V., and D. P. Lettenmaier (2011), Climatic trends in major U.S. urban areas, 1950–2009, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L16401, doi:10.1029/ 2011GL048255 which reports on the effect of urban areas on multi-decadal…
Guest post by David Middleton From the BBC… Climate: Cherries are not the only fruit Just about the most predictable event of the week was the tempest of opinion created by the analysis of global temperature changes published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) on Monday. As we (and a number…
By Dr. Roy Spencer …or, OMG! HAS UAH BEEN BOUGHT OFF BY GREENPEACE!? Over the last ten years or so there has been a growing inconsistency between the UAH and Remote Sensing Systems versions of the global average lower tropospheric temperature anomalies. Since I sometimes get the question why there is this discrepancy, I decided…
By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” I am often amused by claims that we understand Earth’s climate system, are able to accurately measure its behavior, eliminate all potential variables except CO2 as the primary driver of Earth’s temperature and make predictions of Earth’s temperature decades into the future, all with a high degree of confidence.…