UPDATE: Forecast humor on steroids, here You can’t make up FAIL like this. First this story in the BBC Today: Now let’s have a look at the official Met Office forecast for April, issued on March 23rd, 2012:
In groupthink, organizations value consensus more than free thought. The emphasis on consensus leads to group polarization, in which a group’s positions become more extreme than any individual would come up with. Alarmist climate science is a textbook example of groupthink in action. Guest post by Paul MacRae A while ago, I received an email…
On the battle between Arrhenius and Ångström. Story submitted by John Kehr, The Inconvenient Skeptic Any serious discussion about the Theory of Global Warming will eventually include the absorption band argument that started more than 100 years ago between Arrhenius and Ångström. One of the arguments presented by Ångström was that the main CO2 absorption…
Guest post by Mark Johnson What would the climate change debate be without a quote from Rosie O’Donnell. Al Roker was interviewing the talk show host on a Weather Channel segment Monday morning during “Wake Up with Al.” Here’s how the exchange went: ROKER: “What do you think about the controversy about the people who…
From the FECYT – Spanish Foundation for Science and Technology Arabic records allow past climate to be reconstructed The study has been published in Weather, a publication of the Royal Meteorological Society Corals, trees and marine sediments, among others, are direct evidence of the climate of the past, but they are not the only indicators.…
Junkscience.com reports that: EPA official Al Armendariz who rocketed to infamy last week because of 2010 comments about “crucifying” industry, has resigned from the agency. Click for his resignation letter. (PDF) Here’s the source of the uproar, this video:
In my email today: From: The Honorable Dana Rohrabacher Date: 4/27/2012 EPA Compromises the Integrity of Science Dear Colleague: “Which do you find more shocking: that the Environmental Protection Agency conducts experiments on humans that its own risk assessment would deem potentially lethal, or that it hides the results of those experiments from Congress and…
UPDATE: I’ve added a video at the end that speaks to the consensus thinking. Marc Morano’s arguments leaves the Australian Youth Climate Coalition’s Anna Rose speechless. – Anthony Guest post by Dr. Tim Ball Claims of a consensus was an early sign climate science was political. It was used to support official science of the…
NOTE: An update has been added below, using the press release that came out today after the news stories yesterday. While ironic that something designed to reduce CO2 emissions (and presumably warming)is actually producing warming around it, this isn’t really any big surprise. Orchardists and vineyard operators in California have been using motor driven wind…
Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project ################################################### Quote of the Week: Moral certainty is always a sign of cultural inferiority. The more uncivilized the man, the surer he is that he knows precisely what is right and what is wrong. All human progress, even in morals, has been the…
This post represents two milestones for WUWT. 1. It is the first post where a detailed examination of fracking has been offered to the readers. 2. It is the first post I’ve authored from an airplane cruising about 35,000 feet enroute from Atlanta to Phoenix. I’m connected to Southwest’s new inflight WiFI service. Mr.…
Guest post by Bob Tisdale What Do Observed Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies and Climate Models Have In Common Over The Past 17 Years? One word answer: NOTHING!!!! OVERVIEW In this post, we’ll compare satellite-based sea surface temperature anomalies (Reynolds OI.v2) for the past 17 years to the multi-model ensemble mean of the climate models that…
Guest post by Alec Rawls Miller et al. 2012 recently provided some pretty strong evidence for a solar driver of climate. “This is the first time anyone has clearly identified the specific onset of the cold times marking the start of the Little Ice Age,” said lead author Gifford Miller in January. And the dates?…
“…thinner air” cited by sports broadcaster From DeadSpin’s Timothy Burke: Tim McCarver Blames Global Warming For The Increase In Major League Home Runs We’d normally save this sort of thing for McCarve’d Up (which will be back next week after being pre-empted for NFL draft coverage) but Tim McCarver said one of the stupidest things…
It has been a busy day for me. I chased the last remaining (yet to be surveyed) USHCN weather station in Georgia at Dahlonega, plus did historical reference interviews with TWC founder John Coleman and Director of Meteorology Joe D’Aleo which I’ll post later. The reason I was invited and am covering it is here Right now…
Note: I’m blogging this from Atlanta, where I am at the TWC Pioneers reunion. Bob was kind enough to provide this post so I can relax a bit (though I think I’ll chase a NOAA USHCN weather station today anyway). His figure 10 (below) is interesting, his figure 11 even more so. – Anthony Guest…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach The United Nations, progenitor of a thousand agencies, has released a report called “MOVING TOWARDS A CLIMATE NEUTRAL UN” regarding its success in reducing its own “carbon footprint” (full version , summary). The Head Prophet of the UN, Ban Ki-moon, has revealed the mysteries to us unwashed masses as follows: We…
As you may know, I’m traveling this weekend to be with the founders and pioneers of The Weather Channel in Atlanta for an informal 30 year reunion, which I talked about in detail here. Thanks, sincerely, to everyone for the help and support! Blogging will be light this weekend, though I will post highlights and…
Story submitted by Forrest Mims III, originally published for the San Antonio Express-News In the early days of this column, concerned readers sent many questions about the earth’s ozone layer, which I began measuring in 1990. Today, public interest in the ozone layer has been replaced by concern about global warming. Answering questions about global…
Guest post by Bill DiPuccio, Science Teacher Let’s face it, high school science videos can be boring and ineffective. I like my science with a twist of comic exaggeration. So I decided to produce a video with enough humor to keep the students awake, and enough depth to challenge them intellectually. This 30 minute video…
Guest post by WUWT moderator Andi Cockroft This has little to do with my beliefs (or otherwise) in CAGW, but more to the fact that I am tight with money and this project offers the ability to run my 5 litre SUV for free ! Please note however, this is only suitable for Petrol/Gasoline Engines…
From the Harvard School of Engineering and Applied Sciences “Warming hole” delayed climate change over eastern United States April 26, 2012 50-year model suggests regional pollution obscured a global trend CONTACT: Caroline Perry, (617) 496-1351 Cambridge, Mass. – April 26, 2012 – Climate scientists at the Harvard School of Engineering and Applied Sciences (SEAS) have…
No, I won’t be meeting Heidi Cullen. 30 years ago, on May 2nd, 1982, a new satellite channel debut made history. TWC went online thanks to the work of dozens of pioneering meteorologists and technicians, including my friends John Coleman and Joe D’Aleo. This is my personal story, never before told here. I had a…
There was a lot of controversy leading up to this moment, as we covered previously on WUWT where NSIDC put a new trailing average algorithm online with no notice, and bungled the climatology in the process, needing a fix. As has been the case before when NSIDC data goes wonky it was those bloggers of…
The “I Can Change Your Mind about Climate” website of the ABC TV in Australia reminds me of the famous phrase “your gonna get your mind right, Luke” from the 1967 classic movie “Cool Hand Luke” with Paul Newman: The round1 voting, which I talked about here, is over, and the skeptics, listed as “dismissive”,…
When I first saw this email with press release, I thought to myself – oh boy here’s another disaster thing from weepy Bill McKibben. But as it turns out, this is a useful educational app to assist people in learning about home retrofits making their home better able to withstand hurricane damage. – Anthony FLASH®…
Ian Wishart writes in Investigate Daily: Century old map throws new doubt on climate change sea level claims A new book on the history of New Zealand has inadvertently stirred the climate change debate by revealing a near zero sea level increase over the past century. The book, The Great Divide, includes a 100 year…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Anthony highlighted a study called “Recent Plant Diversity Changes on Europe’s Mountain Peaks” (paywalled here , hereinafter Pauli2012). The Supplementary Online Information (SOI) is here. The study concluded that the plants had moved vertically up the mountain by 2.7 metres, and Anthony was justifiably amused by the accuracy of the…
I would not have believed this had I not seen this come from this idiot’s Senator’s mouth. Take the three most inefficient and subsidized things in government today, add them together, and there’s no way that spells SUCCESS. It does spell FAIL though. From Fox News website (via C-SPAN) As the potential collapse of the…
Breaking news from NASA and the ICEsat team, that’s their headline, not mine. This really makes all the hype over the now discredited Steig et al. paper, which attempted to establish an air temperature warming trend as one of the possible causes for “Antarctic melting”, only to have the Mannian PCA math they used shot…
Roger L. Simon writes on PJ Media: Starting this year, PJ Media, in conjunction with our good friends at The New Criterion, will be awarding the first annual Walter Duranty Prize for Journalistic Mendacity. Walter Duranty – it will be recalled — was the New York Times’ Moscow correspondent in the 1920s and 1930s who whitewashed…
This is a historical summary, that shows both past and present context of Climategate and Michael Mann’s legal fight to keep his emails from University of Virgina a secret from FOIA requests. Worth a look. – Anthony ATI’s Freedom of Information lawsuit on behalf of Virginia taxpayers is headed to the Virginia Supreme Court. This…
The precision, down to a tenth of a meter, calculated by the University of Grenada in their press release below is simply stunning. I wonder what the error bars are on 2.7 meters over seven years of the study? And, how does one filter out seasonal weather effects over such a short time span? Inquiring…
From the European Space Agency: Investigation on Envisat continues Optical, radar and laser observations of the Envisat satellite show that it is still in a stable orbit. Efforts to regain contact with the satellite have been under way since 8 April, when it unexpectedly stopped sending data to Earth. To determine if Envisat has entered…
From the The Earth Institute at Columbia University Do urban ‘heat islands’ hint at trees of future? Common oaks get a boost in New York’s Central Park City streets can be mean, but somewhere near Brooklyn, a tree grows far better than its country cousins, due to chronically elevated city heat levels, says a new…
The folly of E15 anti-hydrocarbon policies EPA’s E-15 ethanol plan is bad for our pocketbooks, environment and energy policy Guest post by Paul Driessen The Obama Administration’s anti-hydrocarbon ideology and “renewable” energy mythology continues to subsidize crony capitalists and the politicians they help keep in office – on the backs of American taxpayers, ratepayers and…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Previously, we discussed the errors in Levitus et al here in An Ocean of Overconfidence Unfortunately, the supplemental information for the new Levitus et al. paper has not been published. Fortunately, WUWT regular P. Solar has located a version of the preprint containing their error estimate, located here. This is how…
As I reported in McIntyre’s rebuttal of Michael Mann’s pants-on-fire book, Steve McIntyre came out of hiatus yesterday to pen his rebuttal to Mike Mann’s book, seen below. The points Steve made were well, inspiring, to Josh. For example: Instead of “forgetting”, as any prudent person would have done, Mann brazenly repeated his earlier lie to…
Polar Amplification: Observations versus IPCC Climate Models Guest post by Bob Tisdale We’ve illustrated and discussed polar amplification in a few posts in the past. See here and here. Wikipedia has a short blurb about it: Polar amplification is the greater temperature increases in the Arctic compared to the earth as a whole as a result…
Here is a good example of a warmist really wanting to push social control and using global warming as the excuse. Story submitted by John Kehr The Inconvenient Skeptic I will gladly discuss the science of global warming with anyone. Interestingly enough there is a strong desire to avoid discussing the science from many warmists…
Tom Nelson points out that Michael Mann’s sabbatical gives him time to take a break from his sober, objective, apolitical, just-the-facts, hard-science-only work to discuss the environmentalist movement on: Seems rather ho-hum until you look up what network “Inside Story” is on:
Note: I’m going to leave this as a sticky “top post” for a day or so. new stories appear below. Nigel Calder asks us to republish this post for maximum exposure. He writes: Today the Royal Astronomical Society in London publishes (online) Henrik Svensmark’s latest paper entitled “Evidence of nearby supernovae affecting life on Earth”.…
Steve McIntyre is back blogging and writes (links mine): I had also spent some time considering a response to Mann’s book. It amazes me that a reputable scientific community would take this sort of diatribe seriously. Mann’s world is populated by demons and bogey-men. People like Anthony Watts, Jeff Id, Lucia, Andrew Montford and myself…
By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley In a previous post, I explained that many of the climate-extremists’ commonest arguments are instances of logical fallacies codified by Aristotle in his Sophistical Refutations 2300 years ago. Not the least of these is the argumentum ad populum, the consensus or head-count fallacy. The fallacy of reliance upon consensus, particularly…
Guest post by Bob Tisdale In two posts about a year ago and more recently in my book, we compared the satellite-based sea surface temperature anomalies and CMIP3-based climate model simulations on an ocean-basin basis. Refer to Satellite-Era Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Versus IPCC Hindcasts/Projections Part 1 and Part 2. The models performed—I’m looking for…
Germany Building 17 New Coal, 29 New Gas-Fired Power Stations From Dr. Benny Peiser at The GWPF German utilities and private investors have plans to construct or modernise some 84 power stations, energy and water industry association BDEW said on Monday. Of the total number counted 29 units were gas-fired and 17 coal-fired generation plants,…
by Chip Knappenberger on Master Resource The scientific findings of the human influence on the climate system have been, and perhaps will always be, a mixed bag. Assuming strong positive feedback effects, and thus a high climate sensitivity, it certainly can be argued that the bad outweighs the good. But if feedback effects are more…
MSNBC reports that the lack of temperature rise in the last 12 years has convinced environmentalist James Lovelock ( The Gaia Hypothesis) that the climate alarmism wasn’t warranted. From his Wikipedia entry: Writing in the British newspaper The Independent in January 2006, Lovelock argues that, as a result of global warming, “billions of us will…
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I previously discussed the question of error bars in oceanic heat content measurements in “Decimals of Precision“. There’s a new study of changes in oceanic heat content, by Levitus et al., called “World Ocean Heat Content And Thermosteric Sea Level Change (0-2000), 1955-2010” (paywalled here). [UPDATE: Available here, h/t Leif…
EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2012 We anticipate that the 2012 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have reduced activity compared with the 1981-2010 climatology. The tropical Atlantic has anomalously cooled over the past several months, and it appears that the chances of an El Niño event this…